Replication Data for: Voting between two global crises. A NUTS3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries (ICPSR doi:10.13130/RD_UNIMI/4WBROS)

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Part 2: Study Description
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Replication Data for: Voting between two global crises. A NUTS3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries

doi:10.13130/RD_UNIMI/4WBROS

UNIMI Dataverse

2023-02-02

1

Giuliani, Marco, 2023, "Replication Data for: Voting between two global crises. A NUTS3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries", https://doi.org/10.13130/RD_UNIMI/4WBROS, UNIMI Dataverse, V1, UNF:6:oPynw/J6zzdXUozS818gwA== [fileUNF]

Replication Data for: Voting between two global crises. A NUTS3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries

doi:10.13130/RD_UNIMI/4WBROS

Giuliani, Marco (University of Milano)

UNIMI Dataverse

Giuliani, Marco

Giuliani, Marco

2023-02-02

Social Sciences, Economic vote, Unemployment, Immigration, Southern Europe

Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain went several times to the polls during the 2010-2019 decade. It was a period characterised by the strenuous effort to recover the economic situation before the onset of the Great Recession; an effort, however, often constrained by externally imposed austerity policies, and by a refugee crisis that contributed to the growing salience of the immigration issue. The article adopts an original sub-national approach to examine if and how the economic situation and the incidence of immigration affected the electoral outcomes in the four South-European countries. Adopting a theory of retrospective behaviour, the research reported in the article confirms the association between employment and immigration levels, on the one hand, and punishment of the incumbent government on the other. However, the electoral effects of immigration are conditioned by the partisan composition of the government and, under centre-right cabinets, are aggravated by a negative economic conjuncture.

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Giuliani M (2022). Voting between two global crises. A NUTS3-level analysis of retrospective voting in four South-European countries. "Italian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica". DOI: 10.1017/ipo.2022.9

• Number of cases: 658

• No. of variables per record: 34

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:6:Cb1Ot8ZNAdnrJ1nsDwvM8Q==

• Number of cases: 40

• No. of variables per record: 12

• Type of File: text/tab-separated-values

UNF:6:oHwBGV5roRJFjX37IBODkg==

• country - Country name
• ncountry - Country
• nuts1 - NUTS1 code
• geonuts1 - NUTS1 name
• nuts2 - NUTS2 code
• geonuts2 - NUTS2 name
• nuts3 - NUTS3 code
• nnuts3 - NUTS3
• geonuts3 - NUTS3 name
• year - Year
• election - Electoral period
• district - District
• coalition - Coalition dummy
• govparty - Government composition
• govparty2 - Government composition 2
• leftgov - Share of left party seats in government
• leadparty - Leading party
• turnout - Turnout
• lagturnout - Turnout previous election
• deltaturnout - Change in Turnout
• incumbent - Incumbent pct votes
• lagincumbent - Incumbent pct votes previous election
• lead - Leading party pct votes
• laglead - Leading party pct votes previous election
• unemp - Unemployment rate
• emprate - Employment rate
• growth - Growth
• for - Foreign population pct
• density
• deltafor - for-lagfor
• ratiofor - for/lagfor %
• salunemp - Salience unemployment
• salimm - Salience immigration
• over65 - pct pop over 65 year
• country - country
• ncountry - country
• Year - Year
• Maxemp - Max employment rate
• Minemp - Min employment rate
• Natemp - National employment rate
• Maxfor - Max pct foreign population
• Minfor - Min pct foreign population
• Natfor - National pct foreign population
• Maxchangefor - Max change pct foreign population
• Minchangefor - Min change pct foreign population
• Natchangefor - National change pct foreign population

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:6ZcIVEVKTgd9Lrk16jmlbw==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 2.4194528875379926; Valid 658.0; StDev 1.092544962339257; Min. 1.0; Max. 4.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cZ4MFhofLkaChNrI6cmEWw==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:ZMGu7PBvMtEu4KykrWlJPQ==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:+ciE0XttyP2b29rm82UjlQ==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:1ZTa6TypkxXXdZiSbNEBGQ==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:aT9heq/m6gFID2Zp8o6++A==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:b9eintXgiSPhrRKscl/EGg==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Max. 329.0; Mean 165.0; Valid 658.0; StDev 95.04593137813576

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:k736oNUHqySWGg58xrIRsg==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:ajPyZAmQbwf3evz38TsAuQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 2019.0; StDev 2.343513719297281; Min. 2013.0; Valid 658.0; Mean 2016.3753799392098

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Yq5gu/lHhLrZlvjv77iFow==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.5; StDev 0.5003803728203228; Max. 2.0; Valid 658.0; Min. 1.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:gyD0xlpiOGe5BrtUK7A4kQ==

f17035 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:hdw1gTY4RK0M3pJWuxvtJQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.708163265306123; Valid 490.0; Min. 0.0; StDev 0.455072180029006; Max. 1.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:m+IOviXMV+/WBEHlV9PhKQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 2.4224924012158056; Valid 658.0; Max. 4.0; Min. 1.0; StDev 1.0955473132034361

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:XsMIxEfpFXvWVsaYZhPI0w==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.7183605485715412; Valid 658.0; Min. 1.0; Mean 1.7386018237082055; Max. 3.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Gew8z8gObR0eIMuKmwDLXQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 0.0; Mean 55.40805450833677; Valid 658.0; Max. 100.0; StDev 44.107815117513276;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:lRitGZ9WHHX4BnusXvoGRQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 1.0; Valid 658.0; Mean 1.5775075987841944; Max. 2.0; StDev 0.4943318176171605

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:SZdDMG0ZXBVFXsVZvN/FIA==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 490.0; Max. 84.25580285335121; Mean 67.36954809840425; StDev 9.901586425274772; Min. 36.49859797164496;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:1BLxRTc6UejqKA9kaeQTPA==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 87.56653121643015; Mean 68.23981177086083; Min. 35.91; Valid 490.0; StDev 11.21996711781574

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:fPE2G+ELzg7GBHiREIQyyw==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 13.780616760253906; Min. -14.980088233947754; Valid 490.0; StDev 3.907285886369603; Mean -0.8721080685794718

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:nIavFj6K5bXAYiprLMRbSw==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 27.696520256042408; Valid 490.0; StDev 9.342059360633293; Min. 3.237721535543784; Max. 57.15516357296688

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:c5L7diKI4oAd4xRtc4xKkQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 38.259311962360805; Valid 490.0; Max. 66.70657786425204; StDev 11.3106839498965; Min. 9.661470944723975

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:2SHrDaj+ikgdb4jLIYptdA==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 26.42673145434289; Min. 3.237721535543784; Max. 57.15516357296688; Valid 490.0; StDev 9.407510051177852

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:55lgbOxvfafLpcVw/cAYmQ==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 66.70657786425204; Mean 34.49398815757272; Valid 490.0; Min. 9.48; StDev 10.796604401995916;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:UHcmvT6rfbhX8Z5mphtX0A==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 2.5; Mean 14.850438982119298; Valid 490.0; StDev 7.819208056572338; Max. 38.79622927546078

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Yd1R/uTq46HKOBNemTnpyg==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 30.57601404680249; Mean 46.35894744494566; Valid 490.0; StDev 7.461024150819714; Max. 79.35947250677029

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:HsB/GqJ53c5+GLYcJG9Afw==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. -10.059951173395197; StDev 3.0145054179420865; Valid 490.0; Max. 18.6199791733737; Mean 1.3724392915621748

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:IFsnNDMlwv3gKXwM0htLPw==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 21.112393534760017; Valid 490.0; StDev 4.365825321076954; Mean 6.977565927371702; Min. 0.39439864238121425

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:H1lxmY/zpIbyZeghkv4hBA==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 658.0; Min. 0.008700000122189522; Mean 0.33689710873499057; StDev 1.0409001410691372; Max. 10.932199478149414

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:h7UPSSeFyKUst8w8lucyXA==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 3.4736716747283936; Min. -1.8865952491760254; Mean 0.2230590145735598; StDev 0.5602093150421412; Valid 490.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:uUKJRs3t7rd40xji2lAq0g==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 104.84043238114336; Valid 490.0; Min. 77.98757934570312; StDev 12.178068396718407; Max. 189.95242309570312

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:Y25vQqO+I2IYeKtlil5dfg==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 18.0; Valid 658.0; Mean 51.158922648188764; Max. 68.78; StDev 11.59766545997755;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:SQmL9VU5KD8bELXKMmdgGA==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 658.0; Min. 2.39; StDev 11.296784220162348; Max. 32.6885880077; Mean 13.89940206239347

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:7oVCwaTq+JP13whb3MEDgg==

f17035 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 21.734954407294833; StDev 3.7167963915833973; Min. 9.0; Valid 658.0; Max. 36.7

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ZnHiGk/STwAfGLOGf2h/vA==

f17037 Location:

Variable Format: character

Notes: UNF:6:3y2qhAfTQlhcr7pV9fyM0A==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 4.0; Min. 1.0; Valid 40.0; Mean 2.5; StDev 1.1322770341445958

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:UuPGRUyhBfH+f1dynxbm5g==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 40.0; Min. 2010.0; Mean 2014.5; Max. 2019.0; StDev 2.908872369413698

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:rXJ9D+Iwm2T2965Pe0uPKA==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 80.91759205143191; Min. 55.11387411082551; StDev 8.037997628869396; Mean 65.9630277742517; Valid 36.0

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:DNmuIOUUdiS0XZyTVs8PQw==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Max. 43.95841805612038; Mean 35.02686296400998; Valid 36.0; StDev 4.582378885707211; Min. 28.709209471327867;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:ClqVFMmUaitQ7A5LZXonBg==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 44.91358924939802; Max. 55.83697737221265; Mean 49.11446605537329; StDev 2.700643542301731; Valid 40.0;

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:jGDR1jxGa2N3QwckSigozQ==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Min. 10.063321467918932; Max. 21.24298605770929; StDev 3.716692484517757; Valid 40.0; Mean 15.335330523261058

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:FnZD5NhziMZErbQUyqtSeg==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 1.5905016839131072; Min. 0.39263325093752643; StDev 0.8684802090253092; Valid 40.0; Max. 2.9883061941251596

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:lnXnb8EgKyFvnRCJ14oDLg==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 40.0; StDev 2.4360409945209875; Mean 7.05993595635148; Min. 3.6989453891353508; Max. 11.621793289729533

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:G88gga/b6ta/xNnd2dgGzA==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Mean 0.9130931128514266; Valid 40.0; Min. -0.11256772694493922; Max. 3.4818513422073423; StDev 0.7251996465884246

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:5JkOjgmzJEly9KJNcDKdnQ==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: StDev 0.6922794171232706; Valid 40.0; Min. -2.8025727808347103; Max. 0.09668782671267584; Mean -0.7102231324834621

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:QvjEdjcO5dfRddR3Dtb+2g==

f17037 Location:

Summary Statistics: Valid 40.0; StDev 0.3750965945417042; Mean -0.0024664164659573993; Max. 1.0915321615878; Min. -0.8002331719941029

Variable Format: numeric

Notes: UNF:6:cuHRBEqdcrVoKSuIC0lFtw==

Label:

Voting SE - Nuts3 code.do

Text:

Stata syntax

application/x-stata-syntax